---

Working Papers
Please email me for the manuscript if you are interested in any of the below papers.

• "Political Dissent, Foreign Intervention, and State Repression"
  ​
• "When the Levee Breaks: An Ensemble Forecasting Model of Nonviolent and Violent Conflict"
  (with Jonathan Pinckney)

• ​"Pacifying or Provoking : the Role of Access to Financial Institutions in Violent Conflicts"

• (with Cameron G. Thies)
  
  
• "Measuring and Estimating Ethnic Heterogeneity"
  (with David S. Siroky)
  
  
• "How Economic Sanctions Work in Authoritarian Regimes?"
  (with Cameron G. Thies)
  
  
• "Methodological Insights and Challenges for Using Climate Change Indicators in Predicting Conflict Research"
  (with Steven T. Landis and Cameron G. Thies)​​